Q: What have you learned so far from the hotel business?
Q: With the teams you have a stake in – the NHL’s Washington Capitals, the NBA’s Washington Wizards and the WNBA’s Washington Mystics – what has been the big lesson?
The range goes like this: accomplished violinist, co-founder of popular cable network Black Entertainment Television, co-owner of professional sports franchises, CEO of Salamander Hotels & Resorts.
NEW YORK Most people would be thrilled to succeed in one field. Whenever we trade a player, they never speak to me again. I’m their safety net.
Q: Any particular type of investment that attracts you?
Q: How did you handle that success with your personal portfolio?
A: Things don’t come overnight in life – you have to persevere and stay focused. I don’t have to do a thing for her. Without his $500,000 in startup money, we might not have made it, because no one else thought we could pull it off.
For the latest in Reuters “Life Lessons” series, Johnson, 68, sat down to share a few ingredients in her secret recipe for success.. Failure only helps you grow.
Q: How do you make your philanthropic decisions?
A: I get that constantly. Sheila Johnson has triumphed in some remarkably different ones.
Q: How did that start in music help shape your business career?
Q: How did you transition from that world to co-founding BET with your now-ex-husband Bob Johnson?
A: Patience, patience, patience. That is how we pay it forward. Ted Leonsis once said to me, ‘Sheila, don’t get too close to the players, because they will break your heart.’ And he was right. Eventually we would like to get up to 10 or 15 hotels in the luxury market.
(The writer is a Reuters contributor. With my company, a CFO runs it, and three other people working under the CFO watch everything I buy and make sure no one is abusing credit cards. Some things I have learned about investing: Don’t put all your eggs in one basket, trust no one and keep an eye on the m88a bottom line. They are two of the most hard-working kids I know. Even if I baked them cookies!
Q: What life lessons do you pass along to your kids?
A: It was tough, because no one else was doing it. My son is a menswear designer who just had his first show for New York’s Fashion Week. But there is one women’s investment fund that I participate in, called WE Capital. These are handpicked students from underserved backgrounds. Twelve of us have pooled our money – ranging from half a million to over a million each – to invest in companies started by women, owned by women and on their way to making a real social impact. The opinions expressed are his own.)
A: I have an investment manager at JP Morgan who keeps tabs on everything and watches my back. Music does that for you. It is not charity, though – it is business.
A: I make sure to have a personal CFO. It was a risky project, and it cost me a lot of money, but now it’s paying off. So I’m very proud of them – but even if they fell on their faces, they should never be ashamed of it. For instance, I help 50 fellows at Harvard’s Kennedy School. But we had an angel investor, John Malone, who believed in us and funded us all the way through our eventual sale to Viacom. I always knew it was going to work, but it has been 10 years to get it up and running. If you are part of a string quartet, you have to be focused on the conductor and know exactly when to come in, because if your mind wanders in the least, you are finished.
A: When I first came into owning the teams, I was so excited, but felt so much pressure to make it a success. It is a true checks-and-balances system. It also teaches you to be a better listener and communicator. There is no loyalty in sports. My daughter is a show jumper who runs her own business and travels the world. Even today, I sign all the checks at my company personally.
By Chris Taylor
| NEW YORK
A: It is all about character, integrity and the way they conduct themselves. But I know in my heart where I want to help people. We had a vision of bringing the African-American voice to the cable world, and at first, we couldn’t get any advertisers to believe in that vision
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Bookmakers lay bets (take bets) from individuals, this makes all bookmakers ‘layers’ by default
And Peter Rojas, not Ryan Block, founded Engadget and co-founded Gizmodo.
Once dubbed ‘Hollywood’s most hated website’, Perezhilton (authored by Mario Lavandeira since 2005) is the gossip site celebrities fear most. Beppe Grillo
Least likely to post ‘Social networking – it’s just a phase’
34. It is run by Alvy, Nacho and Wicho, three friends in Madrid, who blog in Spanish. Between them they chronicle life in their trade, and usually from behind a veil of anonymity. But the man in question is Scott Schuman, who had 15 years’ experience working at the high-fashion end of the clothing industry before starting The Sartorialist. So when, in 2005, Huffington decided to mobilise her fortune and media connections to create, from scratch, a flagship liberal blog she was roundly derided. And as the phenomenon grew quickly, Kottke became a well-known filter for surfers on the lookout for interesting reading.
Millions of visitors visit Icanhascheezburger.com to see, create, submit and vote on Lolcats (captioned photos of characterful cats in different settings). Rimmer set up the blog nearly two years ago when she first got the allotment and says she felt it was something worth writing about. In response, the site has fallen victim to increasingly sophisticated cyber attacks. It’s now the biggest website for LGBT women, with half a million hits a month.
Recently rated the 18th most influential blog in the world by Wikio, Basic Thinking, which has the tag line ‘Mein Haus, Mein Himmel, Mein Blog’, is run by Robert Basic of Usingen, Germany, who aims ‘to boldly blog what no one has blogged before’, and recently posted his 10,000th entry. One exception is Michelle Malkin, a conservative newspaper columnist and author with one of the most widely read conservative blogs in the US. Despite working as a magazine editor, Marshall chose to vent on the web. Its launch was a landmark moment in the evolution of the web because it showed that many of the old rules still applied to the new medium: a bit of marketing savvy and deep pockets could go just as far as geek credibility, and get there faster. Mario, 29, is famous for scrawling rude things (typically doodles about drug use) over pap photos and outing closeted stars. Copyblogger
Afterellen takes an irreverent look at how the lesbian community is represented in the media. But its core value – ‘media criticism’ – appears to be intact.
WoWinsider is a blog about the World of Warcraft, which is the most popular online role-playing game in the world, one for which over 10m pay subscriptions each month in order to control an avatar (a character, chosen from 10 races) and have it explore landscapes, perform quests, build skills, fight monsters to the death and interact with others’ avatars. Basic thinking
37. Holy Moly
Least likely to post ‘How To Look Skinny While Pleasing Your Man!’
It’s a neat word, fug – just a simple contraction of ‘ugly’ and its preceding expletive – but from those three letters an entire fugging industry has grown. After describing events that her employer – a dotcom start-up – thought reflected badly on them, Armstrong was sacked. Stylebubble
You want relentless celebrity gossip on tap? TMZ will provide it, and when we say relentless, we mean relentless. In 2006, SFT used a satellite link at Mount Everest base camp to stream live footage on to YouTube of a demonstration against Chinese Olympic athletes practising carrying the torch there. Gaping void
50. The UK blog attracts 750,000 visitors a month and 240,000 celeb-obsessees subscribe to the accompanying weekly mail-out. Students for a free Tibet
Launched by ‘Bob’ after the success of his WorldCupBlog in 2006, Offside is a UK-based blog covering football leagues globally, gathering news and visuals on all of it, inviting countless match reports and promoting discussion on all things soccer, from the attack by a colony of red ants on a player in the Sao Paulo state championship third division, to the particular qualities of every one of Cristiano Ronaldo’s goals so far this season. This set the tone for amassing a readership of movers and shakers on the Upper East Side, as well as ‘the angry creative underclass’ wishing either to be, or not be, like them, or both (‘the charmingly incompetent X… Hecklerspray
Least likely to post ‘Sometimes you need to chill in a shellsuit’
The following apology was published in the Observer’s For the record column, Sunday March 16 2008
A couple of key moments boosted Kottke’s fame: first, being threatened with legal action by Sony for breaking news about a TV show, but most notably quitting his web-design job and going solo three years ago. Founder Michael Arrington had lived through the internet goldrush as a lawyer and entrepreneur before deciding that writing about new companies was more of an opportunity than starting them himself.
Least likely to post ‘Why Plastic Bags rock’
The history of political blogging might usefully be divided into the periods pre- and post-Huffington. Crooked timber
With a horde of hungry geeks and big money investors online, Techcrunch is the largest of a wave of technology-focused blog publishers to tap into the market – GigaOm, PaidContent and Mashable among them – but often proves more contentious than its rivals, thanks to Arrington’s aggressive relationships with traditional media and his conflicts of interest as an investor himself.
20. As a slow, gentle satire on modern village life, it is often held up as an example of blog as sitcom, and has not only attracted a loyal band of readers, but a dedicated fan club on Facebook desperate to work out the real identity of the wit behind the site. Who, spluttered the original bloggerati, did she think she was?
One of the best-known personal bloggers (those who provide more of a diary than a soapbox or reporting service), Heather Armstrong has been writing online since 2001. Crooks and liars
Least likely to post ‘Log on tomorrow for Kofi Annan’s live webchat’
Least likely to post ‘That Obama’s got a lovely smile, hasn’t he?’
40. Things started going gangbusters when he pimped his cartoons on the internet, and as he built an audience through his blog, he started writing about his other passion – the new world of understanding how to adapt marketing to the new world of the net. AfterEllen
When Smash Hits! died, Popjustice became the new home of pop music. Treehugger
Although his unabashed partisan approach is admonished by many old-fashioned American reporters, Marshall’s skills at pulling together the threads of a story have paid dividends. She blogs in an uncontroversial but quite reflective manner, aiming to show a ‘real person’ behind the celebrity. The site seems pretty lo-fi – just entries called things like ‘Robin’s birthday’ and ‘FEB16′ featuring pages of images of hip young things getting their party on. The site signposts important events and interesting analyses, gives context and witty commentary on everything from the most serious speeches to the silliest election-themed YouTube clips. It hoovered up traffic. With one post a day, often more, topics for discussion can range from top 10 uses for apples to making scrap quilts. Remember when everybody was madly printing off vouchers from the web that saved you 40 per cent? That was one of his: aimed at helping shift more bottles from Stormhoek, the South African vintner he works with.
24. Readers post a variety of comments on political talking points of the day, although 9/11 conspiracy theories are often deleted, and there is a daily round-up of notable stories on other political blogs.
Least likely to post ‘An iWhat?’
A typical blog m88 online by Grillo calls, satirically or otherwise, for the people of Naples and Campania to declare independence, requests that Germany declare war on Italy to help its people (‘We will throw violets and mimosa to your Franz and Gunther as they march through’) or reports on Grillo’s ongoing campaign to introduce a Bill of Popular Initiative to remove from office all members of the Italian parliament who’ve ever had a criminal conviction. But few diaries are read by 10,000 people a day. Defeat turned into victory, however, with the press attention she gathered from the dismissal not only securing victory in an industrial tribunal, but also helping her score a lucrative two-book deal with Penguin. The original delight was in logging on to see if you’d made it on to the site – your chances increase exponentially if you’re beautiful, avant-garde and hang out at clubs and parties in the edgier parts of London – but now the site can get up to 900,000 hits a month from all over the world.
22. ‘But I think both kinds of journalism should exist, should co-exist.’
Least likely to post ‘This product really sells itself’
36. It’s representative – but by no means the first – of the so-called ‘job-blogs’, with people from all walks of life, from ambulance drivers (randomactsofreality.net) and policemen (coppersblog.blogspot.com) to the greatly loved but now defunct Call Centre Confidential. Last year her blog passed the 1bn clicks mark.
48. She advises her readers on what cooking equipment to go for, posts recipe suggestions for them to try, and gives them a nudge in the direction of which food shows are worth a watch. It’s an established resource for newspaper columnists – both tabloid and broadsheet – and there’s a daily ‘News from the Molehill’ slot in the free London paper The Metro. It was the first to break Alec Baldwin’s now infamous ‘rude little pig’ voicemail last April, for instance. Rojas also co-founded rival gadget blog Gizmodo.
Treehugger is a green consumer blog with a mission to bring a sustainable lifestyle to the masses. They auctioned the tyre-tracked sock on eBay in aid of US charity the Children’s Defense Fund last autumn.
Created by Satoshi Yamasaki and Mazaki Keito of Osaka, Gigazine is the most popular blog in Japan, covering the latest in junk foods and beverages, games, toys and other ingredients of colourful pop product culture. Their regular ‘Crap Email From a Dude’ feature is especially fantastic, as is their coverage of current stories (opinionated and consistently hilarious) and politics. Basic Thinking reports on technology and odds and ends, encouraging readers to rummage through an 1851 edition of the New York Times one minute and to contemplate the differences between mooses and elks the next.
Least likely to post ‘Oprah looked great in those stretch jeans’
· Join the Debate: If you would like to comment about our choice of blogs, go to blogs.theguardian.com/digitalcontent
Least likely to post ‘George Clooney – I wouldn’t kick him out of bed’
Techcrunch began in 2005 as a blog about dotcom start-ups in Silicon Valley, but has quickly become one of the most influential news websites across the entire technology industry. In it she reports on her day-to-day moods, reflections, travels, social life and cats (‘Finally the first kitten’s been born!!! Just waiting for the second, in the middle of the third one now!!!!!!!! It’s midnight, she gave birth to another one!!!!!!’). In the article above we wrongly said that Ryan Block founded Engadget and co-founded gadget blog Gizmodo. It pulls in 1.6m readers a month and is endlessly cited as the source for red-top celeb stories. He is an economic conservative (anti-tax), a social liberal (soft on drugs) and a foreign policy hawk (pro-war). He is also gay, a practising Roman Catholic and HIV-positive, a set of credentials he routinely deploys in arguments to confuse atheist liberals and evangelical conservatives.
39. On the other side of the border, in the wilderness, the real nutters start.
Armstrong’s honesty has added to her popularity, and she has written about work, family life, postnatal depression, motherhood, puppies and her Mormon upbringing with the same candid and engaging voice. The mixture of an insider’s view on gastronomic Paris, conversational, bilingual writing and the sheer irresistibility of her recipes pull in thousands of readers every day. You’re about to become a style icon.
Attracting around 10,000 people from all over the globe to her site every week, Pim Techamuanvivit has tried and tested an awful lot of food. She has never posted a photo of herself and this ‘anonymity’ has led recently to her having to fend off claims she’s really a white man, even a drag queen. Before the millionaire socialite Arianna Huffington decided to get in on the act, bloggers operated in a spirit of underdog solidarity. The offside
Least likely to post ‘What do you think of the new Hanif Kureishi?’
Least likely to post ‘Forget the kittens – get a Kalashnikov!!!!!!!’
Least likely to post ‘J’ai assez parle de moi, qu’est-ce que vous pensez?’
16. Thousands of women tune in for daily accounts of her narcissistic husband and nightmarish mother-in-law and leave equally self-revealing comments transforming the pages into something of a group confessional. Written by a bunch of anarcho-libertarians, tax rebels, Eurosceptics and Wildean individualists, it has a special niche in the political blogosphere: like a dive bar, on the rational side of the border between fringe opinion and foam-flecked paranoid ranting. Consistently ranked among the top 20 blogs on Technorati, Treehugger has 10 staff but also boasts 40 writers from a wide variety of backgrounds in more than 10 countries around the world, who generate more than 30 new posts a day across eight categories, ranging from fashion and beauty, travel and nature, to science and technology. Talking points memo
Andrew Sullivan is an expat Brit, blogging pioneer and defier-in-chief of American political stereotypes. The blog has been so successful that Klein has penned a book, Straight Up and Dirty, and has featured in countless magazine and newspaper articles around the globe. But hidden among the pictures of steam-powered CD players and Darth Vader tea towels there is a steely, ultra-liberal political agenda: championing the web as a global medium free of state and corporate control. At Go Fug Yourself, celebrity offenders against style, elegance and the basic concept of making sure you’re covering your reproductive organs with some form of clothing before you leave the house are ‘fugged’ by the site’s writers, Jessica Morgan and Heather Cocks. Students in Tibet face arrest for posting on the site, but many escape to blog about their experiences in exile. Spots someone whose outfit he likes. Later this year the web will be a critical tool in organising and reporting protests during the games. The site stays on the right side of gratuitous nastiness by dishing out generous praise when due (the coveted ‘Well Played’), being genuinely thoughtful on questions of taste and funnier on the subject of random starlets in sequined sweatpants than you could possibly even imagine.
Least likely to post ‘I like babies but I couldn’t eat a whole one’
Least likely to post ‘Sign up to our campaign to grant Silvo Berlusconi immunity’
At some point during the disputed US election of 2000 – when Al Gore was famously defeated by a few hanging chads – Joshua Micah Marshall lost patience. A host of ‘micropatrons’ and readers donated cash to cover his salary, but these days he gets enough advertising to pay the bills. It recruited professional columnists and celebrity bloggers. Swelling with advice on online writing, it’s an essential tool for anyone trying to make themselves heard online, whether commenting on a discussion board or putting together a corporate website.
42. The blog’s name Mashable is derived from Mashup, a term for the fusing of multiple web services. Xu Jinglei
29. Now part of Weblogs Inc (owned by AOL), it is offered on many other sites (including GoogleMail) as a default RSS feed, and is published in English, Spanish, Japanese and Chinese. Eight years later Talking Points Memo and its three siblings draw in more than 400,000 viewers a day from their base in New York.
A New York blog of ‘snarky’ gossip and commentary about the media industry, Gawker was founded in 2002 by journalist Nick Denton, who had previously helped set up a networking site called First Tuesday for web and media entrepreneurs. They grow food on an allotment nearby, keep chickens and bees and ‘try to be green, whatever that means’. With a few clicks and an impulse she created her own blog, and quickly gathered fans who followed her life in Paris, the strained relationship with her partner and adventures with her toddler.
Least likely to post ‘YouTube? It’ll never catch on’
32. And West Wing fans will be pleased to note that the blog’s name is a reference to the show’s British ambassador to the United States, Lord John Marbury, who, appropriately enough, provided an eccentrically British but reliably insightful appraisal of American politics.
13. Five years later Chocolate and Zucchini, one of the most popular cooking blogs, has moved from being a hobby to a full-time career. She’s not just famous on the net, she’s attracted global coverage in the media with her writing, recipes and interviews appearing in such diverse publications as the New York Times, Le Monde and the Sydney Morning Herald. Cranky flier
Least likely to post ‘If you can’t say anything nice…’
Their dominance of the terrain where technology meets politics makes the Boing Boing crew geek aristocracy. The organisation, which was founded in 1994 in New York, spans more than 35 countries and gets up to 100,000 hits a month. In the era pre-Huffington, big media companies ignored the web, or feared it; post-Huffington they started to treat it as just another marketplace, open to exploitation. He continues to plug away at the site as it enters its 10th year.
Least likely to post ‘Look at this well wicked vid of a dog on a skateboard’
Least likely to post ‘I’d say it’s six of one, half a dozen of the other’
Least likely to post ‘I’m off to anger-management’
One of the early wave of blogging pioneers, web designer Jason Kottke started keeping track of interesting things on the internet as far back as 1998. Melanie Rimmer and her family of five live in a ‘small ex-council house’ with a garden on the edge of farmland in Poynton, Cheshire. Mastella’s first name is Clemente and Popular-UDEUR was part of Romano Prodi’s centre-left coalition. The site attracts more than 70,000 readers a day and has been named one of Time’s Top 100 Design Influences. Formed as an internet supergroup, pulling several popular intellectual blogs together, Crooked Timber now has 16 members – largely academics – across the US, Europe, Australia and Asia. Arianna’s money talked just as loudly online as off, and the Huffington Post quickly became one of the most influential and popular journals on the web. Drudge is scorned by journalists and serious bloggers for his tabloid sensibilities, but his place in the media history books is guaranteed. Grillo’s name for Mario Mastella, leader of the Popular-UDEUR centre-right party, is Psychodwarf. The ‘language’ used in the captions, which this blog has helped to spread globally, is known as Lolspeak, aka Kitty Pidgin. In Lolspeak, human becomes ‘hooman’, Sunday ‘bunday’, exactly ‘xackly’ and asthma ‘azma’. While respected mainstream media figures accused Marshall of seeing conspiracy, he kept digging: the result was the resignation of attorney general Alberto Gonzales, and a prestigious George Polk journalism award for Marshall, the first ever for a blogger.
Least likely to post ‘Has anyone got a stamp?’
Least likely to post ‘Hey guyz, any hotties in the Nepal region?!’
8. Each posting, usually ending with ‘I have to be up early’ or a promise to report tomorrow on a DVD she is watching, is followed by many hundreds of comments from readers – affirming their love, offering advice, insisting she take care. Samizdata serves its opinions up strong and neat, but still recognisable as politics. He often picks up trends and happenings before friends start forwarding them to your inbox. Since then, lesbian and bisexual women have moved from the margins on to primetime TV, and this blog analyses the good, the bad and the ugly of how they’re portrayed. Jonny B’s private secret diary
Angry Black Bitch, which has the tagline, ‘Practising the Fine Art of Bitchitude’, is the four-year-old blog of Shark Fu of St Louis, Missouri. Within a year Gawker’s readers were making 500,000 page views per month. Treehugger began as an MBA class project four years ago and says it now generates enough revenue from sponsorship and advertising to pay all its staffers and writers. Three years on, Rupert Murdoch owns MySpace, while newbie amateur bloggers have to gather traffic crumbs from under the table of the big-time publishers. But thanks to the decision in 1998 to run a scurrilous rumour – untouched by mainstream media – about Bill Clinton and a White House intern named Monica Lewinsky, it became a national phenomenon. Jezebel
27. Recent features include a review of Eurovision failure Daz Sampson’s new single ‘Do A Little Dance’ (‘The listener is invited to muse on the sad inevitability of their own death’) and a furious debate about the future of Girls Aloud.
Least likely to post ‘Make mine a Happy Meal’
Least likely to post ‘We can only wish Rupert Murdoch well with his new venture’
Least likely to post ‘Paris is a metaphor for Third World debt’
Least likely to post ‘I prefer Pierre Boulez’s interpretation of Mahler’s third’
If a weekly flick through Heat just isn’t enough, then a daily intake of Holy Moly will certainly top up those celeb gossip levels. Boing Boing
For Clothilde Dusoulier, a young woman working in computing and living in the Paris district of Montmartre, starting a blog was a way of venting her boundless enthusiasm for food without worrying she might be boring her friends with it. His CV is crammed with various US airline jobs, which gives him the insider knowledge to cast his expert eye over everything from the recent 777 emergency landing at Heathrow to spiralling baggage handling costs and the distribution of air miles to ‘virtual assistants’.
49. And if something interesting happens in Major League Soccer, we’ll be just as surprised as you.’
Least likely to post ‘I even wear my Ugg boots in bed’
In the middle of a career as an adman in New York, Hugh MacLeod found himself doodling acerbic and almost surreal cartoons on the back of people’s business cards to pass the time in bars. If a player is traded for 1,000lb of beef in Romania, we’ll cook the steak. He endorsed George Bush in 2000 and John Kerry in 2004. His reality show premiered on VH1 last year, and his blogsite is peppered with snaps of him cuddling Paris Hilton at premieres. Samizdata
The tagline of a new book hitting British shelves reads ‘In Paris, in love, in trouble’, but if it were telling the whole story, perhaps it should read ‘In public’ too. Started by lesbian pop-culture guru Sarah Warn in 2002, the name of the site gives a nod to the groundbreaking moment Ellen DeGeneres came out on her hit TV show, Ellen, in 1997. WoWinsider reports on what’s happening within WoW (‘Sun’s Reach Harbor has been captured’). Go fug yourself
47. He’s moved on from spending his childhood birthdays in airport hotels, face pressed against the window watching the planes come in, and turned his attention to reporting on the state of airlines. On the day of Lindsay Lohan’s arrest for drink-driving, he posted 60 updates, and 8m readers logged on. Last year, a mistake confirmed Engadget’s power – upon reporting a supposed email (which turned out to be a hoax) from Apple, informing Apple employees of a delay in the launch of iPhone, Apple’s share price fell by 3 per cent within minutes. It launched in January 2000 and has had an immeasurable influence on the style and idiom of blogging. The daily dish
Jinglei is a popular actress (and director of Letter From An Unknown Woman) in China, who in 2005 began a blog (‘I got the joy of expressing myself’) which within a few months had garnered 11.5m visits and spurred thousands of other Chinese to blog. Though she was keen to retain her anonymity and continue her career in the film industry, author ‘Abby Lee’ was soon outed as north Londoner Zoe Margolis by a Sunday newspaper.
Least likely to post ‘The customer is always right’
Least likely to post ‘Sorry, I can’t think of anything to say’
Samizdata is one of Britain’s oldest blogs. But don’t think that means the omnipresent celeb blog that sends shivers round offices up and down the country on ‘mail-out day’ is slowing down – there has been talk of Holy Moly expanding into TV.
Least likely to post ‘What’s the difference between a woman and a condom?’
Most surveys of web use show a fairly even gender balance online, but political blogging is dominated by men. TMZ prides itself on being close to the action, so close, in fact, a TMZ photographer had his foot run over by Britney Spears mid-meltdown. And there was plenty of drama to watch: within a year her relationship had broken up, and she’d met a new man who wooed her online. Angry black bitch
4. Goes home and posts it on his blog. Visitors first witness ‘eye candy’ such as David Beckham condoms (from China), 75 turtles in a fridge, the packaging for Mega Frankfurters or a life-size Ferrari knitted from wool, learn of a second X-Files movie moving into pre-pre-production, watch a vacuum-cleaning robot being tested and compare taste reports of Kentucky Fried Chicken’s new Shrimp Tsuisuta Chilli.
Least likely to post ‘So just what is a caucus?’
Least likely to post ‘Just add instant mash’
26. Minimalist it might be, but his site – a basic scroll of full-length street portraits, occasionally annotated with a brief note – is mesmeric and oddly beautiful. Dirtydirty dancing
2. Readers were mesmerised by her unflinching dedication to telling the whole story, no matter how she would be judged. Mashable
17. The US site is dripping with ‘breaking news’ stories, pictures and videos, and deems celeb activity as mundane as stars walking to their cars worthy of a video post. The site took off, boosted partly through close links to popular blog-building website Blogger (he later married one of the founders). And that’s it. It does it all with gentle, irreverent charm, polluted only occasionally with gratuitous smut. Bored at work one day in 2004, expat secretary Catherine Sanderson happened upon the concept of blogging. It was instrumental in exposing the creeping erosion of civil liberties in the US under post-9/11 ‘Homeland Security’ legislation. Everyone seemed to like the idea, so he kept going. Having an informed opinion will be a must, but if you are as yet unable to tell your Iowa Caucus from your Feiler Faster Thesis, Marbury – a British blog on American politics – is the place to start. It also reports on outside developments and rumours (‘A future patch will bring a new feature: threat meters’).
Least likely to post ‘The internet is, like, so over’
Least likely to post ‘Is it just me or is Romney getting cuter?’
Least likely to post ‘Mein heim, mein gott – I need to get a life’
Growing in popularity since its debut in 2003, Jonny B’s diary – which is clearly neither private nor terribly secret – catalogues the rock and bowls lifestyle of one man in the depths of rural Norfolk. His site is now ranked the third-most popular blog in the world by search engine Technorati, spawning a mini-empire of websites and conferences as a result. Dooce
Taking the protest online, Students for a Free Tibet (SFT) is a global, grassroots network of students campaigning to free Tibet, which has been occupied by China since 1950. It offers the best lady-aimed writing on the web, along with lots of nice pictures of Amy Winehouse getting out of cars.
9. Her main theme is how liberals betray America by being soft on terrorism, peddling lies about global warming and generally lacking patriotism and moral fibre.
6. He’s got a sharp eye for a good look, a gift for grabbing an on-the-hoof pic and an unwavering enthusiasm for people going the extra mile in the name of style. ‘The Waiter’, as the author is known, has been blogging his experiences with fussy customers and bad tippers since 2004, winning a gong at blogging’s biggest awards, the Bloggies, in 2007. Apologies.
Bloggers saw themselves as gadflies, pricking the arrogance of established elites from their home computers, in their pyjamas, late into the night. The Drudge Report
23. Lau, 23, admits to spending up to 60 per cent of her pay from her day job in advertising on clothes, but now she’s viewed as a fashion opinion former, she’s being paid in kind. Primarily, Armstrong became one of the first high-profile cases of somebody being fired for writing about her job. It succeeded quickly, in part by acknowledging the five big lies perpetuated by the women’s media: The Cover Lie (female forgeries of computer-aided artistry); The Celebrity-Profile Lie (flattery, more nakedly consumerist and less imaginative than the movies they’re shilling for); The Must-Have Lie (magazine editors are buried in free shit); The Affirmation Crap Lie (you are insecure about things you didn’t know it was possible to be insecure about); and The Big Meta Lie (we’re devastatingly affected by the celebrity media).
Least likely to post ‘I’m so over this story – check out the New York Times’
Least likely to post ‘OMG, I saw Jessica Simpson in Lidl and she signed my bum!’
41. Soon afterwards, however, Sanderson’s employers found out about the blog and promptly fired her. And it routinely ridicules attempts by the music and film industries to persecute small-time file sharers and bedroom pirates instead of getting their own web strategies in order. ‘But for security reasons we can’t reveal details of how or where yet.’ Similarly, a massive protest in London on 10 March will be the subject of intense cyber comment. Recent scoops include Barack Obama dressed in tribal garb and the fact Prince Harry was serving in Afghanistan. They were actually founded and co-founded by Peter Rojas. Her influence is such that fashion editors namecheck her blog, Chanel invites her to product launches and advertisers have come calling.
Least likely to post ‘But why don’t you just phone them up?’
Kottke remains one of the purest old-skool bloggers on the block – it’s a selection of links to websites and articles rather than a repository for detailed personal opinion – and although it remains fairly esoteric, his favourite topics include film, science, graphic design and sport. Through his blog, he rallied many marchers in 280 Italian towns and cities for his ‘Fuck You’ Day last September. Barack Obama is his preferred Democrat candidate in 2008. This has been corrected.
Amused by a photo of a smiling cat, idiosyncratically captioned with the query ‘I Can Has A Cheezburger?’, which he found on the internet while between jobs in early 2007, Eric Nakagawa of Hawaii emailed a copy of it to a friend (known now only as Tofuburger). But taken as read, Shark Fu is a much-discussed, 35-year-old black woman, tired of the ‘brutal weight’ of her ‘invisibility’.
He’s a shameless publicity whore, too. It helped channel blogger scorn on to Yahoo and Google when they kowtowed to China’s censors in order to win investment opportunities. Investigations have traced the sources back to China, leading to speculation that the Chinese authorities are trying to sabotage the site to stop online critics.
Following in the footsteps of Belle de Jour – the anonymous blogger claiming to be a sex worker – the girl with a one track mind started writing in open, explicit terms about her lively sex life in 2004. Its ethos, that a green lifestyle does not have to mean sacrifice, and its positive, upbeat feel have attracted over 1.8m unique users a month. Considered by many to be the best ‘serious’ blog in the game, it nevertheless promises irreverently, ‘If there is a sex scandal in England, we’ll be stuck in the middle of it. ‘In another country, he would have been the dishwasher in a pizzeria,’ says Grillo. With the mocking self-awareness of a modern Diary of a Nobody, the author tells tales of wild nights at the village pub and the fortunes of the local bowls team. Last month Holy Moly created headlines in its own right by announcing a rethink on publishing paparazzi shots. So if you’re out and about and a guy called Scott asks to take your picture, just smile. Chocolate and Zucchini
Lego reconstructions of pop videos and cakes baked in the shape of iPods are not generally considered relevant to serious political debate. The blog will no longer publish pics obtained when ‘pursuing people in cars and on bikes’, as well as ‘celebrities with their kids’, ‘people in distress at being photographed’ and off-duty celebs. The site’s creator, Ian Leslie, is an ex-expat who fell for American politics during a four-year stint living in New York. Waiter rant. And the blog recently reported that America’s Homeland Security are – seriously – looking for a terrorist operating within WoW.
Behind Dooce stands an army of personal bloggers perhaps not directly influenced by, or even aware of, her work – she represents the hundreds of thousands who decide to share part of their life with strangers.
With a title pulled from Immanuel Kant’s famous statement that ‘out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made’, it’s an amalgam of academic and political writing that has muscled its way into the epicentre of intelligent discussion since its conception in 2003. ‘SFT plans to stage protests in Beijing during the games and post blogs as events unfold,’ says Iain Thom, the SFT UK national co-ordinator. Last year he helped set the agenda after George Bush covertly fired a string of US attorneys deemed disloyal to the White House.
15. It was bought by the Discovery Channel last year for a rumoured $10m.
Least likely to post ‘I’ve got a headache’
Least likely to post ‘Chocolate’s my favourite flavour of Pop Tart’
Founded in 2004 by John Amato (a professional saxophonist and flautist), Crooks and Liars is a progressive/liberal-leaning political blog, with over 200m visitors to date, which is illustrated by video and audio clips of politicians and commentators on podiums, radio and TV. the wildly successful blowhard’). TMZ
30. The Sartorialist
Combining diary, opinion and green lifestyle tips, Beansprouts is a blog that covers one family’s ‘search for the good life’. Asks if he can take a picture. WoWinsider
Boing Boing chronicles cases where despotic regimes have silenced or imprisoned bloggers. Not bad for what Klein describes as ‘angst online’.
Last year Gawker Media launched Jezebel – a blog which aimed to become a brilliant version of a women’s magazine. Founded in 2000 by Peter Robinson, it combines fandom with music news and raw critique, all hilarious, and all blindingly correct. They hated the mainstream media – and the feeling was mutual.
33. That makes her one of the most influential women online. Edited by Jess McCabe, the site, which receives around 3,000 hits a day, is dedicated to providing a forum for contemporary feminist voices, with a daily news blog, features on stereotypes and censorship, podcasts on pornography and regular feminist film reviews.
7. Previous guesses have included Chris Evans and Johnny Vaughan, though both have been strenuously denied.
No matter what happens between now and 4 November, you can be certain the US presidential election of 2008 will be among the most historically important and dramatic of any fought. There is now an effort to develop a LOLCode computer-programming language and another to translate the Bible into Lolspeak. The incident caused such fierce debate that Dooce found itself turned into a verb that is used in popular parlance (often without users realising its evolution): ‘dooced – to be fired from one’s job as a direct result of one’s personal website’.
If someone stole your camera, took it out for the night to parties you yourself aren’t cool enough to go to and returned it in the morning, you would probably find it loaded up with pictures like those posted on DirtyDirtyDancing. This, in turn, has led to multiple books and the ability to forge a dream career as a food writer.The name of the blog is, she says, a good metaphor for her cooking style: ‘The zucchini illustrates my focus on healthy and natural eating…
But the pyjama purists were confounded. The site has built itself a reputation as something of an intellectual powerhouse; a sort of global philosophical thinktank conducted via blog.
Least likely to post ‘Who fancies a game of space invaders?’
The Report started life as an email gossip sheet, and then became a trashy webzine with negligible traffic. ‘I think in many cases the reporting we do is more honest, more straight than a lot of things you see even on the front pages of great papers like the New York Times and the Washington Post,’ he said in an interview last year. Girl with a one-track mind
Least likely to post ‘Oops, one sec – just got to check the facts…’
Fashion blogger Susie Lau says Stylebubble is just a diary of what she wears and why. With a history of direct action, the group is now uniting worldwide members through the web, blogging to spread word of news and protests, and using sites like Facebook to raise funds. Not with self-confessed ‘airline dork’ Brett Snyder, aka Cranky Flier, keeping tabs on their progress. Peteite Anglaise
Least likely to post ‘Anyone seen these charming croquet mallets?’
Among the most visited blogs in the world is that of Beppe Grillo, a popular Italian comedian and political commentator, long persona non grata on state TV, who is infuriated daily – especially by corruption and financial scandal in his country. and the chocolate represents my decidedly marked taste for anything sweet.’
Least likely to post ‘Actually, dogs are much more interesting…”
Stephanie Klein’s blog allows her to ‘create an online scrapbook of my life, complete with drawings, photos and my daily musings’ or, rather, tell tawdry tales of dating nightmares, sexual encounters and bodily dysfunctions. From Michelin-starred restaurants to street food and diners, she samples it all, and posts her thoughts and pictures to share with other foodie fans. By 2006, the blog was bookified and published by Ebury, and spent much time on bestseller lists, beach towels and hidden behind the newspapers of serious-looking commuters. It has developed a highly engaged community and has added popular services like TreeHugger.tv, and a user-generated blog, Hugg.
To borrow the gold-rush simile beloved of web pioneers, Huffington’s success made the first generation of bloggers look like two-bit prospectors panning for nuggets in shallow creeks before the big mining operations moved in. Business Week named Arrington one of the 25 most influential people on the web, and Techcrunch has even scored interviews with Barack Obama and John McCain.
Least likely to post ‘Barack is so, like, gnarly to the max’
Rant isn’t quite the right word for this collection of carefully crafted stories from the sharp end of the service industry in a busy New York restaurant. The second most popular blog in Europe and the 13th most popular in the world (according to eBizMBA), Microsiervos concerns itself with science, curiosities, strange reality, chance, games, puzzles, quotations, conspiracies, computers, hacking, graffiti and design. The world’s most popular blog on gadgets and consumer electronics, Engadget was founded by Peter Rojas in 2004 and won the Web Blogs Awards that year and each year since. TMZ was launched in 2005 by AOL and reportedly employs around 20 writers to keep the celeb juice flowing. Though there were personal websites that came before hers, certain elements conspired to make Dooce one of the biggest public diaries since Samuel Pepys’s (whose diary is itself available, transcribed in blog form, at Pepysdiary.com). And much though they hate him, the hacks all still check his front page – just in case he gets another president-nobbling scoop.
It’s dry, real, and deafeningly practical, but for an online writing-for-the-internet blog, Copyblogger, founded in 2006, is remarkably interesting. Beansprouts
Founded by Peter Cashmore in 2005, Mashable is a social-networking news blog, reporting on and reviewing the latest developments, applications and features available in or for MySpace, Facebook, Bebo and countless lesser-known social-networking sites and services, with a special emphasis on functionality. Gawker
Marshall has forged a reputation, and now makes enough money to run a small team of reporters who have made an impact by sniffing out political scandal and conspiracy. Fergie from Black Eyed Peas alluded to him in a song, and Avril Lavigne phoned, asking him to stop writing about her after he repeatedly blogged about her lack of talent and her ‘freakishly long arm’. Nowadays the figure is 11m, recovering from a recent dip to 8m thanks to the showing of a Tom Cruise ‘Indoctrination Video’ which Scientologists had legally persuaded YouTube to take down. It is informal, friendly and humorous, moving from news of an eccentric new letter font to reflections on the discovery of the Milky Way having double the thickness it was previously thought to have.
· This article was amended on Friday March 14 2008. Supporters of US presidential candidate Ron Paul promoted on WoWInsider their recent virtual mass march through the WoW. Sharply written and often laugh-out-loud funny, Hecklerspray has been called the British alternative to Perez Hilton, but it’s different in important ways: the emphasis here is on style and wit, with a stated aim to ‘chronicle the ups and downs of all that is populist and niche within the murky world of entertainment’. Gawker’s earliest fascination was gossip about Vogue editor Anna Wintour, garnered from underlings at Conde Nast. In their hands, the simple pleasure of yelping ‘Does she even OWN a mirror?’ at a paparazzi shot of some B-list headcase in fuchsia becomes an epic battle against dull Oscar gowns, ill-fitting formalwear and Lindsay Lohan’s leggings. Michelle Malkin
25. Gawker remains the flagship of Gawker Media, which now comprises 14 blogs, although gossiping by ex-Gawker insiders, a fixation on clicks (which its bloggers are now paid on the basis of) and fresh anxiety over defining itself have led some to claim Gawker has become more ‘tabloidy’ and celeb- and It-girl-orientated, and less New York-centric. No one has done more to promote pointless, yet strangely cool, time-wasting stuff on the net than the editors of Boing Boing (subtitle: A Directory of Wonderful Things). Then, on a whim, they began a website, first comprising only that one captioned photo but which has since grown into one of the most popular blogs in the world.
As ideas go, this one is pretty simple.
The article below said ‘Psychodwarf’ was Beppe Grillo’s nickname for ‘Mario Mastella, leader of the Popular-UDEUR centre-right party’, but it’s actually his nickname for Silvio Berlusconi.
43. Since 2005 the advertising revenue on her blog alone has been enough to support her family.
45. But even the most earnest bloggers will often take time out of their busy schedule to pass on some titbit of mildly entertaining geek ephemera. Man wanders around Manhattan with a camera. Microsiervos
Engadget provides breaking news, rumours and commentary on, for instance, a camera able to track a head automatically, the very latest HD screen or ‘visual pollution’ concerns prompted by hand-held pico laser-projectors. Chez Pim
Least likely to post ‘Check out Ronaldo’s bubble butt’
The internet’s not exactly short of gossip websites providing scurrilous rumours of who did what to whom, but some stand out from the rest. Greek tragedy
14. The Huffington Post
There’s nowhere to hide for airlines these days. So he is either confused, a hypocrite or a champion of honest non-partisanship – depending on your point of view. Readers range from top web 2.0 developers to savvy 13-year-olds wishing for the latest plug-ins to pimp up their MySpace pages.
Least likely to post ‘Revellers at the Earl of Strathdore’s hunt ball’
Least likely to post ‘Did anyone see Casualty last night?’
Least likely to post ‘There’s nothing wrong with a well-conducted cavity search’
1. Kottke’s decision to consciously avoid politics could be part of his appeal (he declares himself ‘not a fan’), particularly since the blog’s voice is literate, sober and inquiring, unlike much of the red-faced ranting found elsewhere online.
Founded in 2001, the UK’s first feminist webzine is responsible for reviving debates around feminism in Britain. In 2006 statisticians at Technorati, having previously not factored China into their calculations, realised Jinglei’s blog was the most popular in the world. Readers feel that they have been brought into her life, and reward her with their loyalty. Something about the everyday nature of The Waiter – a person we like to pretend is invisible or treat with servile disdain – deconstructing the event later with a subtle, erudite typestroke, has captured the public imagination and (hopefully) made some people behave better in restaurants than they otherwise might.
18. The F word
Least likely to post ‘Enough about me – what’s your news?’
Microsiervos, which began in 2001, took its name from Douglas Coupland’s novel Microserfs, a diary entry-style novel about internet pioneers. Basically, it’s gossip for grown-ups.
Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.
Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..
By: Manny G
The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units. Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly. Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.
The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line. RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares). So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction. It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.
So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice. The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.
Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. Keep in mind that NCAAB was the most liquid sport in terms of top-five sportbooks however, with not a single sportsbook making the top five both years. We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it. Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.
Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.
To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB. This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.
The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook. This is where an important word of caution is in order though. The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.
NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.
So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won).
College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6. Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.. To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over fun88 the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego
“Most people prefer to bet on the ‘better’ team, the one that will probably win the game. There is a wealth of information on the Internet; it is just up to you to find it and research it daily.”
And where does all that money go?
“Most people with an understanding of football gambling bet between 3 percent and 5 percent of their bankroll, increasing when they win and reducing when they lose,” Vaccaro says. If you like an underdog, it is best to get your bet in as late as possible, where there is heavy action from squares on favorites. Slim underdogs regularly win outright. If North Texas is his best bet on a Saturday then that is his bet. “If you listen to their advice, you are sure to lose. Shop For Numbers – “Another important aspect of betting on football is shopping for the best number,” Moseman explains. There are almost an infinite number of scenarios that can happen in a single football game. Giving 11 to 10 odds is almost always the cheapest price you can give.”
. Oakland comes to mind) seem like the Super Bowl. Not all games work according to this formula, but it is usually a good rule of thumb.”
Ted Sevransky, a well-known Las Vegas gambler and sports consultant with Sportsmemo.com, agrees.
“The biggest mistake that amateur bettors make is they increase their bets when they are losing,” Sevransky says. They use powerful computers that can process millions of bits of data and produce a more accurate point-spread line than the bookmakers.”
Betting on football games; whether it’s through a local bookie, an offshore Internet site or a Nevada casino (still the only legal place in America to make football bets), most of us have done it or know of someone who has. Chasing losses is the fastest way to the poor house.”
Although exact figures are impossible to calculate, according to Jimmy Vaccaro, widely considered to be Las Vegas’ most influential bookmaker, Americans probably wager more than $50 billion a year on NFL and college football combined. “As for me, the best bet in football is betting the point spread or over/under totals on individual games. The NFL, for example, will have very similar numbers at most of the betting shops you visit.
Another difference between squares and sharps is how they approach betting on game day.
Certainly not back into the pockets of the average bettor. Research Football Services – “Most sports services realize that most people who sign up with them are insecure,” Gordon warns.
But even though the math says it’s virtually impossible to win on a consistent basis, Americans continue to bet on football. And why not? We have unconditional love for the sport and betting $50 or $100 on a game adds an extra rush of adrenaline. But, when you’re struggling, that’s when you want to reduce your bet size until you get out of your slump. On college you will be able to find different lines at different sports books. Also, being “in action” can make a dull late-afternoon game (Buffalo vs. These books change their numbers according to the betting patterns of their customers, so it is not entirely uncommon to find two or three point differences in the lines.”
1. So underdogs tend to be slightly undervalued – except by the sharps.”
6. “The sharps are usually members of a betting syndicate privy to the most up-to-date information on injuries, weather, game plans, and, most important, the real power of the teams involved. If you want advice about sports betting, find someone who has a successful track record. “The key to proper money management is to be sure not to bet more than you can afford to lose.”
8. “He is not jaded by teams and does not bet with his heart. Thanks to the juice, the only one who profits in this scenario is the bookmaker. “There will be more discrepancy in the numbers at different sports books.
However, Konik adds that there are some bettors who actually know how to beat the bookies. The payout is just the same as far as he is concerned. “If you become an expert on a smaller conference like the WAC, you have a good chance to beat the house because sports book operators do not have the time or resources to follow this conference the way you can. Otherwise, you’re better off doing your own research.”
Also, it’s probably a good idea to disregard advice from the myriad of ex-players and football experts you see on television each week. Avoid Exotic Bets – “For very skilled handicappers, with a proven track record, there can, at least in theory, be value in betting parlays,” says Gordon on the type of bet that combines two or more individual wagers. “In trying to bamboozle potential customers, many services make claims about having scouts all over the country that give them inside information and promise 70 or even 80 percent winners, as if the bookmakers were the biggest suckers in the world.
And remember, in the immortal words of “Fast” Eddie Felson, “Money won is twice as sweet as money earned.”
“A square is the average, unsophisticated gambler whose decision making is based on hunches, media manipulation, or spurious systems that cannot overcome the bookmaker’s inherent mathematical advantage,” Konik explains. “Squares usually bet later in the week and they tend to pick the favorites. Consider Underdogs – “In the long-run, it’s easier to win betting on the underdog,” Konik says.
Newspapers and popular sports sites routinely publish the lines or point spreads for games, and football insiders offer their picks to viewers each week on ESPN and other cable networks. Bet at the Right Time – “The sharp bettors tend to bet underdogs, and they tend to bet them early,” Moseman says.
“A sharp or smart has a plan of what he wants to do,” says Vaccaro, the director of sports operations and public relations at Lucky’s Race and Sports Book in Las Vegas. “For example, if you have a $1,000 bankroll for the season, you should generally bet no more than $50 a game.”
But that doesn’t mean you have to bet like a “square” and throw away your hard-earned money.
“The standard bet requires gamblers to lay $11 for every $10 they want to win with the extra $1 or 10 percent known as the juice,” Konik says. He is not taken in by being involved in USC-Notre Dame just because it is the biggest watched game of the day. To be a successful sports bettor you need to operate with a clear mind.”
So, how much are we gambling each football season?
“The talking heads on TV know nothing about sports betting,” says Sevransky. “Thus, the bookies love and cherish the squares.”
“There is probably no better bet in sports than playing an underdog at home,” Moseman says. In fact, sports bettors must pick 52.4 percent winners just to break even.”
While these tips don’t guarantee you’re going to win, hopefully they can make you a little less square and a little more sharp in your picks this season.
3. Big underdogs often find ways to cover the spread and they rarely give up toward the end of a game in front of the home crowd.”
Moseman agrees and especially likes home underdogs.
Michael Konik, a sports writer and best-selling author of The Smart Money (Simon & Schuster 2006), explains why it is so hard for the recreational gambler to win at betting on football. Drinking and Gambling Don’t Mix – “There is a reason the casinos in Las Vegas supply you with free drinks while you are gambling,” Moseman says. “Because alcohol clouds your judgment and usually helps you to make rash decisions you usually wouldn’t otherwise make. The only locks that exist are those that need keys to open them.”
“In an average season, fewer than one bettor in twelve turns a profit,” Gordon says. “Common wisdom says that over the course of a long football season the average man or woman will pick approximately 50 percent winners. Money Management – “This is without a doubt the most important aspect of betting on sports and possibly the most neglected,” says Morey “Doc” Moseman, a professional gambler and sports consultant with DocSports.com for nearly 40 years.
10. “Teams play inspired ball at home.
9. “When you’re in a good rhythm and winning, you want to increase your bets.
“The bookies fear and despise a tiny coterie of professional bettors known as ‘the sharps,’” Konik says. The only touts bettors should consider are the ones who talk about the long haul and realistic winning percentages, which are in the upper 50 percent to lower 60 percent range.”
“A square or recreational player might have a vague plan, but after two Corona’s he will definitely run to the window and make a hasty decision on the USC-Notre Dame game because he wants to be involved in the party atmosphere,” Vaccaro says. Avoid Chasing Bets – “Don’t do it! There is no worse way to mismanage your bankroll than to chase your bets after a losing day,” cautions Moseman on the dangerous practice of trying to immediately win back your losses.
Suggest a correction
So, is it possible for the average square to become a little sharper in making football bets this season? According to professionals like Vacarro, Konik and Gordon, amateur bettors have the best chance to win if they demonstrate a little patience and follow the 10 basic tips below. He loses year after year, according to Dan Gordon, a top football handicapper and author of How to Beat the Sports Books (Cardoza Publishing 2005). Focus on Conferences – “The best way to win money betting football is to develop a niche and follow it closely,” Moseman advises. Locks Don’t Exist – “Anyone who has watched sports for about a month realizes that the difference between winning and losing, especially against the spread, can be infinitesimally small,” Gordon says. “In the NFL, a game will often be totally turned around by one or two plays, or even a single penalty. “Over the course of several seasons, the percentage of bettors who turn a profit is minuscule.”
Even Hollywood is not immune – think Two for the Money with Al Pacino and Matthew McConaughey.
So, how much should you bet a game?
2. If you are going to go with a favorite, it is best to place your bet early in the week when the sharps are laying heavy money on the points
The CFP is entering its third season, yet there’s still plenty of confusion over how it all works.
. Kickoffs will be at 3 p.m. ET, ESPN
o Tuesday, Nov. Two committee members are assigned as monitors for each conference.
The College Football Playoff semifinals this year are in which bowls? The committee releases its rankings when? Who’s on the committee?
Playoff semifinals: Allstate Sugar Bowl & Rose Bowl Game Presented by Northwestern Mutual
College Football Playoff National Championship: Atlanta, Ga.
Their duties include:
o Six weekly top-25 rankings, beginning Nov. 2, 8 p.m. 30, 8 p.m., ET, ESPN
o Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic, Jan. 31 this year. They will, however, try to avoid rematches in the other New Year’s Six bowls.
The highest-ranked team from the Group of 5 conferences is guaranteed a spot in a New Year’s Six bowl.
Playoff semifinals: Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic & Capital One Orange Bowl
College Football Playoff National Championship: Santa Clara, Calif.
College Football Playoff National Championship: Jan.
New Year’s Six schedule:
o Capital One Orange Bowl, Dec. 15, 9 p.m. 8, 7 p.m. Former Michigan coach Lloyd Carr had to step down due to health reasons.
There are coaches everywhere who study the sport for a living and can’t answer those questions. When those bowls host the semifinals and their contracted conference champs do not qualify, the displaced champion(s) will play in a different New Year’s bowl. They each come prepared with their own preliminary top 30 but only rank 25.
College Football Playoff National Championship: Alabama 45, Clemson 40
Capital One Orange Bowl: Clemson 37, Oklahoma 17
Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic: Alabama 38, Michigan State 0
The selection committee consists of 12 people: Texas Tech athletic director Kirby Hocutt (chair); Wisconsin AD Barry Alvarez; former Southern Miss coach Jeff Bower; former Central Michigan coach Herb Deromedi; former NCAA executive Tom Jernstedt; former Vanderbilt coach Bobby Johnson; Arkansas AD Jeff Long; Oregon AD Rob Mullens; Clemson AD Dan Radakovich; Condoleezza Rice; retired sports reporter Steve Wieberg; and former coach Tyrone Willingham. 2 vs. ET, ESPN
o Sunday, Dec. ET, ESPN
o Tuesday, Nov. 4, and No. 1, 7 p.m. 2, 5 p.m., ESPN
o Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan. ET, ESPN
o Tuesday, Nov. 1, the committee will unveil its top-25 rankings on ESPN’s College Football Playoff: Top 25. If a conference champion qualifies for the playoff, the bowl losing that team chooses a replacement from that conference. No.
Nine of the 12 committee members are affected by the CFP’s recusal policy, which prohibits a committee member from voting for a team they or an immediate family member receive compensation from or have a professional relationship with. 4. ET, ESPN
o Tuesday, Nov. and 7 p.m ET on ESPN.
They are guided by these criteria (not weighted) when choosing their top four teams:
oStrength of schedule
oComparative outcomes of common opponents (without incenting margin of victory)
THE WEEKLY RANKINGS
Each week, starting on Nov. 2, 1 p.m. 9 on ESPN in Tampa, Florida (it’s always on a Monday).
College Footblal Playoff National Championship: New Orleans, La.
As semesters begin across the country, here’s your CFP 101 for 2016:
The semifinals: Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl and Fiesta Bowl, both Dec. 1 vs. The other New Year’s Six game is the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic.
Inhale. 29, 7 p.m. 22, 7 p.m. 4. 3. ET, ESPN
THE HISTORY 2014
Rose Bowl Game presented by Northwestern Mutual: Oregon 59, Florida State 20
Allstate Sugar Bowl: Ohio State 42, Alabama 35
College Football Playoff National Championship: Ohio State 42, Oregon 20
You can find more detailed bios of the committee here. Exhale. They each have a computer to vote on, and they debate and rank the teams in groups of six or eight.
o Selecting the top four teams for the playoff, ranking and assigning them to semifinal sites. Repeat.
o Tuesday, Nov. 4, 12 p.m. And oh yeah, the second ranking just happens to fall on election night. ET, ESPN
o Rose Bowl Game presented by Northwestern Mutual, Jan. ET, ESPN
THE CFP MATCHUPS
The committee doesn’t try to avoid regular-season rematches in the semifinals: It’s No. 31. There will be weekly updates, culminating with the final rankings on Dec. You can find the full recusal list here.
The selection committee meets at the Gaylord Texan Resort in Grapevine, Texas, every Monday and Tuesday, starting Oct.
o Selecting the highest-ranked champion from the Group of 5 (MAC, Mountain West, American, Sun Belt, Conference USA) for a New Year’s Six bowl.
Both teams for the Capital One Orange Bowl, Rose Bowl Game Presented by Northwestern Mutual and Allstate Sugar Bowl are contracted outside the playoff arrangement (Big Ten and Pac-12 to the Rose Bowl; SEC and Big 12 to the Sugar Bowl; and ACC to the Orange Bowl against the highest-ranked team available from the SEC, Big Ten and Notre Dame). 1 and ending on Dec. No
That surpasses the 40 million pounds placed on the 2012 U.S. It has become increasingly popular, particularly to bet on financial markets.
Such betting fever is normally associated with major sports events, with people here habitually placing wagers online or in betting shops on everything from horse races to football matches. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. All Rights Reserved. The referendum also outmatches the 35 million pounds placed on the 2014 World Cup Final.
Betfair allows people to place wagers against each other rather than setting odds like the traditional bookmakers. That’s particularly true since pollsters have missed badly in measuring sentiment before some of Britain’s most recent votes, the last general election and the Scottish referendum.
“If we are going to remain in the E.U., at least I will take compensation,” said Jones, who expects to get 3,000 pounds back in profit in such an event. vote as of Wednesday and expects a final amount of 50 million pounds. E.U. That’s reflected in financial markets, where stocks and the British pound are relatively buoyant one day before the big event.
“This is comfortably the biggest political betting event in history and dwarves both the general election and the Scottish referendum,” says Lewis Davey, spokesman for Paddy Power, referring to the Scottish vote on independence last year.
“This is a historical event, and I want to take part in it,” said Can Zhao, an investment researcher who last week placed a 135-pound ($198) bet on “remain” at a Ladbrokes betting parlor near London’s Kings Cross train station.
The betting has also gained the attention of global investors as a gauge of the likelihood of an event’s outcome. referendum betting already hit a record for a political event days ago for Betfair, bookmaker BetFred and IG, the largest provider of spread betting services.
Betfair, bookmakers Ladbrokes and Paddy Power and the Betting Research Unit at Nottingham Business School all estimate that the total value of bets on the vote placed in Britain will reach, and likely exceed, 100 million pounds.
The bookies’ odds have largely been in synch with global financial markets. He was back in the betting shop this week to place additional wagers on behalf of three American friends.
. He intends to vote to leave the E.U., but has placed bets on “remain” to at least get something in case of his side’s defeat.
Betting exchange Betfair says it had taken 45.8 million pounds in wagers on the E.U. “But my big win is to leave the E.U.”
For Stephen Jones, 55, betting is a form of insurance against disappointment. But the importance, drama and uncertainty that have surrounded this vote have made it a spectator sport in its own right. presidential race, which was its previous record for a political event. The industry is expecting 100 million pounds, or nearly $150 million, to be wagered by the time the result is known in the early hours of Friday.
Betting is his way to get in on the drama because as a foreign citizen from China he will not have a right to vote. Polls suggest it is too close to call, while bookies give the “remain” side a higher chance of winning.
LONDON — As if the stakes were not high enough in Britain’s nail-biting vote this week, people are betting record amounts of money on its outcome.
Betting on political events used to be a niche area in the gambling industry but has become more widespread, particularly in Britain. While the polls show this week’s vote is too close to call, bookies like Betfair are giving the “remain” side a 76 percent probability of winning.
Thursday’s vote on whether to leave the European Union, which will have lasting consequences for the country and Europe, is due to break the record as the most bet-upon political event in Britain’s history. Spread betting, on the other hand, does not provide a simple win or lose outcome, but can provide payoffs based on the accuracy of the bet. Ladbrokes has seen a tenfold increase in recent years.
I looked at many blogs and where racing is often concerned it just shows stats and history. more
Three Two Year Old’s To Follow Throughout The Season To Come And Onwards
6 September 2016 22:37
The purpose of this blog is to provide trends based information that will hopefully assist readers to identify value and profitable wagers throughout the week. Last September was a great month with a +£72 LSP and 8 of our 10 highlighted trainers ending the month in profit.
I have looked at Age, Official Rating, Recent Runs, Last Run, Year Runs, Year Wins & Draw…. more
The purpose of this blog is to provide trends based information that will hopefully assist readers to identify value and profitable wagers throughout the week.
Please feel free to read these articles at your leisure and make notes of the data items that you believe will prove useful to you in your quest to find winners. more
THREE JUVENILES TO FOLLOW
I thought I would try something different on the horse racing front and instead of highlighting a meeting or race i would take a different path. more
24 August 2016 14:45
The purpose of this blog is to provide trends based information that will hopefully assist readers to identify value and profitable wagers throughout the week.
What I am going to do over the coming season and following, is to select three two year olds to follow. Hopefully we can have a month to rival last September.
I have looked at 8 trends for the race, they are Age, Weight, Official Rating, Recent Runs, Last Run, Year Runs & Distance….
It’s run over 1m 6 1/2 furlongs and is open to all horses aged 3 or older, i have looked at 7 trends for the race, they are Age, Weight, Recent Runs, Last Run, year Runs, Year Wins & Distance…. One is declared to race today and another two running tomorrow…. more
By Robmull in Horse Racing
31 August 2016 22:32
Horse Racing Trends – Issue 1 – 30 August To 5 September 2016
2 September 2016 16:00
5 September 2016 16:08
By Micko70 in Horse Racing
By meoldmate in Horse Racing
Horse Racing Trends – Issue 2 – 6 To 13 September 2016
By Micko70 in Horse Racing
29 August 2016 14:26
By Micko70 in Horse Racing
By Scratville in Horse Racing
Horse Racing Trainers To Follow In September
2 September 2016 13:45
Winter Hill Stakes
The Mallard Stakes, is a long distance handicap run at Doncaster’s St Leger meeting in September.
I have looked at the last 10 years and looked at the following trends, Age, Official Rating, Recent Runs, Last Run, Year Runs, Year Wins, Group Form & Distance…. 23 August 2016 16:18
The sole purpose of this blog is to provide an easily accessible index with links for all the weekly Horse Racing Trends blogs, to enable readers to browse these information packed articles, which will gradually build into a comprehensive source of data as time progresses.
FLAT TURF (GB)
JOHN GOSDEN (ALL)
We start with a blog regular…. more
Test – Horse Racing Trends Sample Blog – 23 To 29 August 2016
By Robmull in Horse Racing
Horse Racing Trends Blogs Index
29 August 2016 14:12
The Winter Hill Stakes is one of those rare Group races that takes place at an evening meeting, it’s a Group 3 run over 1m 2f at Windsor on the last Saturday of August.
All the best. more
By Robmull in Horse Racing
Haydock Sprint Cup
By Micko70 in Horse Racing
Portland Handicap (Updated 9th September)
7 September 2016 14:39
After a rollercoaster August we sit at around +£138 LSP for the year which is fantastic.
Although it is highly unlikely that all of the trends detailed below will prove profitable to follow immediately, many of the statistics should be worth noting for consideration in the future…. more
Read Blog . All those 8 trainers are back and a few new additions.
Although it is highly unlikely that all of the trends detailed below will prove profitable to follow immediately, many of the statistics should be worth noting for consideration in the future…. more
The Mallard Stakes (Updated 7th Sept)
The 32Red Haydock Sprint Cup is run at Haydock Park on the first Saturday of September over 6 furlongs, it’s a Group 1 and open to horses aged 3 or older. more
By Robmull in Horse Racing
The Portland Handicap is a top quality sprint run on St Leger Day at Doncaster over 5 & 1/2 furlongs, it usually attracts some good horses and usually has a big field.
Although it is highly unlikely that all of the trends detailed below will prove profitable to follow immediately, many of the statistics should be worth noting for consideration in the future…
3, California No. Three 1AA conferences are then rated above the last 1A conference–the Sun Belt–at 58.26.
The “tough” SEC played exactly 10 Division 1AA opponents this season, more than any other conference in the country. 2, Stanford No. 1 among the 242 Division 1A and 1AA schools.
Knowing that the SEC is legion for scheduling Division 1AA teams in its non-conference schedule, I suspect that the SEC’s strength of schedule (the quality of its opponents) may not be as strong. 4 and Colorado No. On a scale of 100 the difference is 70/100ths of 1, or close enough to not make a difference in my mind.
I read other factors into his mathematical formula for deciding which conference is the toughest (best) conference.
The SEC already has 7 of its 12 teams with 7 or more wins and bowl eligible by NCCA standards, and now you know one of the reasons why.
There is so much buzz and hype about the Southeast Conference–better known as the SEC–you would think there are no other NCAA football conferences that can compare.
Sagarin rates all of the 242 individual 1A and 1AA teams and then combines them among conferences to arrive at these figures.
Please, do not give me this garbage about the SEC playing the toughest schedule. Who plays the tougher schedule between the top two dogs? It is easily the Pac 10.
For the record, Nebraska is No. Turns out that I am right.
Ranked 11th among Division 1A conferences is Conference USA at 58.88. 5, so 3 of Top 5 teams in strength of schedule are from the Pac 10.. The facts and statistics say otherwise.
It is the same reason why Hawaii is unbeaten at 10-0, having defeated two 1AA schools in fattening up its impressive win record while racking up the 153rd toughest schedule against the other 119 Division 1A schools.
Sometimes a 1AA school can beat a 1A school (like Appalachian State beating Michigan at home 34-32), not because they are necessarily better but because the 1A school did not take them seriously.
Even Jeff Sagarin in his Sagarin Ratings lists the SEC as the top conference with a central mean (that is Sagarin math talk) of 79.89 with the Pacific 10–better known as the Pac 10–second at 79.19. By comparison, the Big 12 played 10, the ACC and Big Ten played 7 games, the Big East 6, and the Pac 10 only 2.
Another interesting fact of note is this: Since the NCAA established the Division 1A and 1AA separation in 1978, only 5 Division 1A schools have not played a Division 1AA school: Washington, Southern California, UCLA, Michigan State and Notre Dame. Again 3 of the 5 teams come from the Pac 10.
When I add up the strength of schedule for the 12 SEC teams I get an average of 30 compared to an average strength of schedule of 14 for the Pac 10
Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the betting action, public perception and betting patterns must be taken into account.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. Reasons for such adjustments include:
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said.
Why the Line Changes
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Moving the line is the oddsmaker’s effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a “preliminary” pointspread on an upcoming game.
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach.
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks.
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an “adjusted line.”
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not.”
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line “feels right.” This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time.
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team’s most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football team such as USC.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). What Is the Line Trying to Accomplish?
Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team’s power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’)