Category Archives: Parlay betting

Parlay betting

Horse Racing Systems: 5 That Work

If the tote board suggests that the public is overlooking these mitigating circumstances, make your play.

In that spirit. The inside post in turf routes actually showed a small profit, but this was based on a small sample size and cannot be relied upon. Just don’t expect to quit your day job.

How do we identify the best pedigree, then? If you’re using the DRF past performances, use the stud fee as a proxy for quality, and the Tomlinson figure to judge suitability for the distance and surface. Thanks for reading, and see you in the winner’s circle.

Horse Racing System #3 – In maiden claiming races, bet the horse with the best pedigree. The inside post combined with early speed is a particularly potent combination, since the horse will not have to exert himself as much to gain his preferred position at the front of the pack.

This causes the favorite to be under bet in the place pool, leading to a profit opportunity for us to take advantage of by betting the favorite to place. This offers opportunity to more diligent players.

In fact, pedigree does not generally offer wager value with one curious exception: well bred horses do surprisingly well in maiden claiming races. This system takes advantage of one of the few glaring inefficiencies in the parimutuel pools, namely that first and second time starters are badly over-bet.

First time starters return only about 60 cents on the dollar, and second time starters are only a little better, returning less than 70 cents on the dollar. Few bother to even look at the comment line for the race, let alone take the trouble to seek out and watch the replay of the race. This is another mistake that bettors make: in a race with a clear standout, many people give up on the win pool and bet their choice to place, thinking that they’ll get paid even if the favorite wins.

Nunamaker reported that the inside post in dirt route races won at a 20% greater than expected rate, and lost only 10 cents on the dollar, much better than the track take. Most people who love horse racing would be thrilled just to win a little more and lose a little less on their trips to the track.

For as long as humans have bet on horse racing there have been system sellers trying to con the gullible into parting with their hard earned money with the lure of easy profits to be made on the sport of kings. Because speed figures have gained in popularity over the years, anyone following that system now would have trouble coming up with gas money for the ride home from the track.

Instead of blindly betting all horses breaking from the inside, you might use this to supplement your handicapping, paying particular attention to the inside horse, and betting it when you like the horse on other handicapping grounds. To the extent that most handicappers use pedigree at all, it’s usually to identify horses that may improve when switched to the turf, or those who may be expected to win as first time starters. Horse Racing System #2 – Bet horses that have an excuse for a poor performance in their last race. With the BRIS pp’s you can use the Sire Production Factor in concert with the pedigree rating. In most case the public seems to take a horse’s last running line at face value. It should go without saying that you should actually like the favorite’s chances after evaluating the race with your own handicapping.

The horse with the best last race speed figure (whether Beyer, BRIS, or Equibase) may not be the best horse in the race, but he’s probably not far off, so we can use that as a proxy for selection purposes.

Horse Racing System #4 – Bet low-priced favorites to place. My computer studies of pedigree, based on nearly 100,000 races, suggest that using pedigree in that manner offers no advantage to the player.

For instance, many speed figure handicappers reported making horse racing profits in the 60′s and 70′s simply by betting horses with the best last race speed figure. The horse with the best combination of the two is the play.

However, just because systems won’t make you rich doesn’t mean there’s no place for them at all in a horseplayer’s arsenal. None of them work.. I was able to replicate this result in my own study of nearly 100,000 races conducted a decade later.

Look for comment lines like “bled”, “lost rider”, “clipped heels”, “stumbled”, “steadied”, “between horses”, “rank”, and “jumped shadows” that suggest that a horse’s last race was not indicative of its true ability. I’ve identified some of the most useful handicapping factors that have a proven history of doing much better than the track takeout and put them together with some simple rules that should make your trips to the racetrack more fun and profitable. My own studies have shown a similar advantage for the inside post in routes.

Horse Racing System #1 – In maiden races, bet the horse with the best last race speed figure that has had at least two career starts. Let me let you in on a little secret about these “magic formulas”. My study suggests that’s not the case.

Second, the very nature of the parimutuel system itself means that any profits to be made from following a particular set of rules will quickly be arbitraged away as the followers of that system drive down the odds of horses chosen by the system.

Looking for a dead simple horse racing system that will allow you to quit your job and make a living betting the horses in just 10 minutes a day? Good luck with that!

None of these systems will make you rich, or even guarantee that you will make a profit. This is somewhat counter-intuitive since you’d expect that horses with good pedigrees that end up in the maiden claiming ranks probably can’t run at all. One of the few anomalies turned up by Michael Nunamaker in his pioneering computer study “Modern Impact Values”, published in 1994, was that horses breaking from the inside post position in route races won more than their fair share of races, and were under-bet by the public. They will, however increase the chances of a profitable day at the races by ensuring that your wager dollars go where they have the best chance of success. It must follow, therefore, that if we bet the best horse that has started at least twice, we stand an excellent chance of beating the takeout, particularly in races that have several first and second time starters.

In the first place, the parimutuel takeout in horse racing is large (over 15%) and the mutuel pools are relatively efficient, so that even systems with a strong basis in reality can’t overcome the size of the takeout.

Horse Racing System #5 – Bet Horses breaking from the inside post in route races

Betting on Sports – 6 Winning Rules by Don Stark

Most people just don’t have the time to properly study things like past statistics, line moves, trends, angles, valuable lines, inflated numbers, and much, much more. Stick to straight action only. Watching ESPN and/or reading opinionated articles by sports writers on the Internet is not the proper way to do your homework. Always look for the best prices or the best numbers. Drugs (legal or otherwise) and alcohol can cloud your judgment and will lead you into making decisions that you normally wouldn’t make. Research several sports books thoroughly and compare the numbers. If it were really possible for anyone to consistently pick 3 out of 3, parlays (and teasers) wouldn’t be offered by the sports books. If you’re on medication, drugs, or alcohol, or if you’re just in an upset or disturbed mood, be smart and don’t play until you’re back to 100%. It’s a proposition for losers only, so don’t do it.

People all over the world love to bet on sports. Never wager more than you can afford to lose, so be honest with yourself on what you can comfortably set aside for recreation or otherwise. If you bet 3 teams straight action and only win 2 of the 3, you’ve just made money. After checking several well-established and solid options, decide on 2 or 3 of them, and then divide and deposit your initial bankroll equally amongst each one.

Rule #1 – Use Proper Money Management – This rule is the one that is most neglected and explains why Vegas keeps on building all of those multi-billion dollar casinos. Then, before making your wager(s), check each book and always take the best number on your particular event. Unexplainably, wins and losses often times run in streaks, so slowly increase your bets on a hot streak and back off on cold streaks. Hook them all together in a parlay and you must win all 3, or you’re sunk. One of the best ways to win at sports wagering is to maybe find your own special niche and then follow it closely. Whichever group you fall into, sports wagering must be treated the same as any other financial investment. If you set aside $1,000 for gambling, your individual bets should be in the $20 range and no more. If you’re serious about winning more bets than you lose, you should listen to a professional.

Rule #4 – DO NOT Play Parlays or Teasers – Parlays, teasers, and other exotic wagers are offered for a reason. That gives you an automatic advantage over the bookie, so use it to the fullest extent.

Rule #2 – Never Gamble Under the Influence – To coin a phrase, “Speak when you’re drunk and you’ll probably make the biggest speech you’ll ever live to regret.” The same sensible theory applies to betting on sports. However, there is an elite third group out there who bet sports with one and only one purpose in mind…to make money. Secondly, never wager more than 2% of your total bankroll on any single wager. Over the course of a year, that ½, 1, or even 2 point difference will come into play many times, and trust me…it will add up to a lot of money.

Rule #6 – Seek a Professional – There is a wealth of valuable information available on the Internet but you have to take the time to do proper and thorough research. Rule #5 – Perform Due Diligence – As a bettor, you normally have the opportunity to do research well in advance of having to make that final decision on a wager.

. While some do it just for recreation or to make watching a TV game more exciting, there are others who will always wager on their favorite team or player, period.

Rule #3 – Spend Some Time Shopping – This can be compared to shopping for a new car or even for groceries. If betting on sports is more than just a recreational pastime, or if you just don’t have the time or resources for Rule #5, seriously consider employing the services of a professional sports handicapper. Since you’re reading this, you’re probably part of that majority. The payoff odds and point spreads are not carved in stone throughout the industry, and on any given day, they can vary greatly between different shops. To be done properly (and profitably), here are some very crucial rules one must follow. Stick with 2% and never double up and chase lost money.

Whether you’re a recreational player or actually doing it solely for a profit, may you always have more winners than losers, and always remember to have a lot of fun along the way, but stick to the rules. Conversely, if you’re on a losing streak and the bankroll goes down, the size of your bets will decrease accordingly. Yes, you can bet a 3-team parlay, and if you win, it normally pays in the vicinity of 6 to 1 in football and basketball. To be successful at anything, your mind needs to be 100% clear and functional. For example, if you live in California and become an expert on the PAC 10, you can increase your chances of winning by focusing on just your niche. If you’re sick, you go see a doctor. If you’re winning, the 2% per wager automatically increases as your bankroll increases

Casino-Gaming :: Basic Information Regarding Blackjack

The first part of twenty-one is the dealer handing out Two cards to every one from the gamers and finally, to him self. The player is victorious if his number is closer to 21 compared to the hand of the dealer. However, if your splits a card, it won’t be highly regarded anymore as twenty-one since they will be individual hands currently. Blackjack is all about beating your house. The main idea of Black jack is to find the top cards that can provide a sum closest or equal to 21, with no going overboard (bust). Nonetheless, a game of twenty-one is usually a fun and challenging game which gives the pleasure to challenge your house and obtain the opportunity on earning huge.

. Value of the blackjack is 1.5 events from the bet knowning that suggests a bet of $120 will give you a $170 win. Actively playing black jack is strategic and yes it permits you also to turn into analytical and mathematical. They 2-10 are valued as is while the face cards are offered value of 10. It is about you beating the casino dealer in the game.

Twenty-one Rules

The player is allowed to take just as much cards as he wants but he has to be wary about busting or groing through the quantity 21.Care and strategic planning is necessary to prevent busting while ensuring is at your closest value to 21. However, it the casino dealer and gamblers hands are just 21 or related, then it is considered a push meaning no-one is victorious. It is a biggest house good thing about black jack when you play at internet casinos. Black jack Tutorial

Ever in your life played Black jack? That is considered a counting game where every cards are given their appropriate numeric value. Keep in mind, a game is about you and your dealer. hand is usually similar to 21. A card with the dealer has one card uncovered so your gamers can easily see. It doesn’t matter just what the other players have. One other you are facing down. The Ace is usually a unique case because it may be valued either 1 or 11 depending on what best suits your hands. Any hand is beaten with a mix of 10 and Ace choice . It simply gets a push if another card is a twenty-one 10-Ace. It is essential that you concentrate on your cards and also the dealer’s card while focusing on making a hand that because biggest advantage for winning. The user can lose either by busting or if the dealer’s hand is much more detailed 21. If your hand of the gamer grows to 21, this is called blackjack. It doesn’t matter just what cards the rest get. All of the cards of your gamers are facing exactly the same way, either down or up according to the rules on the table